It’s less than a week before the 2022 Breeders Cup Classic race, and bettors are working double time to find strategies to increase their chances of winning. One of the things that bettors consider before choosing a contender to bet on for the race is the trends.
Many individuals utilize trends (information from prior iterations of a specific event) to aid in their decision-making over which horses are most likely to win the races in the future. So, if you’re betting for this upcoming race, here are some trends you might want to look into and consider when picking your bet.
The Favorite Doesn’t Win Most of the Time
When betting, especially for rookie bettors, it’s easy to favor the favorite horse to win the race. It will cut down your time in analyzing and researching each contender before you place your bet. Instead, you will only have to follow most of the bettors and put your money into whoever is the favorite.
However, it would be best to remember that the favorite horse doesn’t always finish the race in the first place. Only two of the previous ten races have been won by the genuine race favorite, namely American Pharoah in 2015 and the legendary mare Zenyatta in 2009. This pattern persisted in 2017, with the eventual winner, Gun Runner, only second in the wagering during the race against the defending champion Arrogate.
Choosing the favorite will also minimize your payout. You choose a horse to bet on this upcoming Breeders Cup Classic race. It would be best if you didn’t rely on who is the favorite of most of the bettors. Instead, learn more about picks that are available and study each of them. Doing so will allow you to acquire facts and information that could help you decide which horse to bet on.
Consider the Jockey When Choosing Whom to Bet
When choosing the winner of the Breeders Cup Classic race, you might also want to check out the jockey who will be riding the contenders on race day. It is debatable how important a jockey is.
According to some experts in the horse racing industry, a jockey’s impact on a horse’s success can be as small as 5% to 10%. However, there are also reports that a jockey can affect the outcome by as much as 75%.
In point-to-point racing, it is much more crucial to select qualified jockeys. Even though the riding level is higher than ever, scrutinizing your rider’s experience and skill is a more crucial consideration. Examine the horses in the paddock, of course, but focus your search on regular circuit riders who sit comfortably on their mounts and have a history in the sport.
The Racetrack Surface Condition Affects the Horse’s Performance
Another trend you must consider when picking your winning horse is how the track surface affects the result of the race. Racetrack surface conditions could impact how the horses perform during the race.
The big equalizer is the surface of the racetrack. Everybody wants a fair and secure track. Sand will unquestionably alter the texture of the surface when applied to clay or a track. A deeper track typically offers a lot more cushion and is more comfortable for horses. But since they can’t get a hold of it, many horses don’t like it. In other words, the horse is not grasping the track when he strides out.
A horse becomes frustrated when he can’t acquire a grip because the racetrack is sloppy. It means the horse will tire far more quickly and not finish the race. A jockey can tell a horse isn’t going to race when he feels it is laboring. By taking control of the animal, the jockey ensures that both the animal and the rider live to compete another day.
That’s why bettors are also considering the track surface in determining the winning horse in the past Breeders Cup races, as horses could tolerate the worst track surface better than the other.
Examine the Post Parade
We get one last chance to observe what each contender is trying to tell us as it parades on the racetrack along with the rider on its back. Look for a horse that walks straight, has an arched neck, has its face parallel to the ground, walks with a light bounce or liveliness, and has its tail curled out from its bottom.
Horses that are anxiously leaping forward or rotating at a 90-degree angle towards the lead horse, keeping their heads up (horizontal to the ground), wobbling their heads sideways, sweating too much, walking slowly, or backing away. Hence, the jockey appears to be pulling the horse as an example of negative body language.
Trends in choosing which horse will likely win are the factors that are constantly providing data on who will likely win the race. Bettors are using these trends to increase their chances of picking the winner. So if you are seeking a way to increase your chance of profiting from this year’s Breeders’ Cup Classic, you should also consider the above mentioned trends.